Risk Estimated probability
for human extinction
before 2100Overall probability 19% Molecular nanotechnology weapons 5% Superintelligent AI 5% All wars (including civil wars) 4% Engineered pandemic 2% Nuclear war 1% Nanotechnology accident 0.5% Natural pandemic 0.05% Nuclear terrorism 0.03% Table source: Future of Humanity Institute, 2008.[13]
A person spends years coming into this own, developing his talent, his unique gifts, perfecting his discriminations about the world, broadening and sharpening his appetite, learning to bear the disappointments of life, becoming mature, seasoned – finally a unique creature in nature, standing with some dignity and nobility and transcending the animal condition, no longer a complete reflex, not stamped out of any mold – and then the real tragedy: That it might take sixty years of incredible suffering and effort to make such an individual, and then he is good only for dying." – Ernest Becker discussing Andre Malraux
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